Clear as Mud?? Early outlook map included- hand made!

Slowly, we are coming to viable solution--My confidence is a little lower, especially compared to last winter where we knew early and often a  big event was coming.

Rather than breaking down model data, I'll place chances on each event happening. Model data has slowed this event down, which is actually good because another piece of high pressure TRIES to build in.

20% Storm chuggs WAY inland and its mostly rain, WELL into the mountains get snow.
20% Storm is a little to far east and we get some snow, not much
60% Something close to my map happens.

Description- Low develop as foretasted in the New Orleans area and slides to a position just east  Charleston, SC and moves NE from there. Places along and west the Blue Ridge are mainly snow and 6-15 inches fall, middle regions including Lynchburg start as a mix or rain and change to snow. 2-8 inches, depending on the time of the change over and exact track of the 500 mb low. South and East regions start as rain and will mix or change to snow eventually. A couple inches can't be ruled out, but without significant cold air it may just snow a couple hours and not accumulate.

**Track of the 500 MB low is huge** When you get under or near the track of this, a couple to several hours of heavy snow take place. This event is moving pretty quickly, but this is a wild card.


I spent some time looking for a decent map to start showing my ideas better. Because I need a white background, a google map is the best I can do. Please click to get a good look.

Better than handspun shakes from Chick-fil-A.