Thursday, January 30, 2014

1-2-3, Snow

Quick update:

The extreme cold will abate the next two days after 11 days so far this month of DOUBLE DIGIT DEPARTURES. (Meaning that our temp has been 10 below normal 11 days this month and today will be the 12th)

We are watching 3 storms.

Storm one cuts WELL to our west and is no threat for winter weather. Outside shot a little piece swings through Monday and gives a little snow, but I'm not on that train yet.

Storm 2:  Tuesday- Wednesday Cuts to our west and a secondary low forms near VA Beach. We start as sleet and freezing rain and end as rain. I think it's a tricky event with cold air, and some models kicking out a decent amount of sleet with it. (inch of sleet is like 3-4 inches of snow) Freezing rain after this cold snap COULD be a pain.

Storm 3: I'm sure many have seen a couple insane maps of 1-3 feet up and down the east coast back into the plans. That's a cumulative map of the next 10 days, but we do have a legit risk of an impressive event. Storm 2 is followed by an arctic Front that goes well to our south and links up with some energy on the sub tropical jet. Great potential for a BIG winter event.

This is 10 days out, and it's never a lock. With that, the model consistency has been rather impressive. Often, but not all the time the models see the big ones FAR away. Will update because this has the potential to be an impressive ice and snow event. I won't post a computer generated map, but the Euro Model has been showing a foot or more across our region with this event. ** Great potential**

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