Monday, March 24, 2014

Tune in for the season finale!

I think??

Crazy winter in both Lynchburg and Roanoke that outside of the BIG snow on Feb 12-13, neither place has a snowfall over 2 inches.

So, if by some chance, LYH gets 2.1 inches tomorrow, it will be our second biggest storm of the year. And, there is legit shot at that, albeit not the greatest.

The big storm idea died late last week and while I wanted to update, work was killing me Friday-Saturday. We are left with a clipper system taking a good track for us as it begins to interact with low pressure off the east coast. These two systems will phase, but that won't really impact our part of the storm. There will be a wide area of precipitation with some embedded areas of heavier snow. Now, like Thunderstorms we can choose an area, but can give EXACT details when it comes to this banding.

Most places in VA get a general coating to an inch. The MTS get an additional 1-2 because they are the MTS.

Here is my general idea-- anyone north and east of the black line has the best chance of some heavier burst of snow, but with such strong energy aloft, everywhere has a risk.






We should be just about out of snow chances after this. With that, last year in April 5-6 some snow fell in our region. Looking forward to next year, an "el nino" watch issued recently. Moderate, west based el ninos are historically our best winters. So, if we get that type of  El Nino, which is what we had back in 09-10 I went 25-30 in LYH, 30-35 Roanoke and 40-45 in Blacksburg. I think they were CLOSE to being accurate that winter. Also, the pre summer el nino's are often cooler then normal and wet. Just some ideas for now, we have spring and summer to watch this develop. 

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