If you've read my tendencies, you'd note that I usually blog when I feel strongly about the event. So, a blog this AM on the cusp of our first possible accumulating snow isn't a good sign.
Strike 1- Marginal temps. No model gets the last 2-4k feet below freezing.
Strike 2. Strung out low pressure. That's not a good sign for heaving precipitation. With temps near or above freezing we'd need heavy stuff to cool the atmosphere and or accumulate.
Strike 3- total QPF is forecast between .15 and .25-- that's much much either way and we know it will mix.
The NWS forecast is under and inch of snow in Roanoke and maybe a little ice in Lynchburg. These seem about right. Places like Blacksburg and Radford could see 2-3 inches and Hot Springs and Lewisburg could see 2-4 or so. Will update if any major changes, but I'm not expecting any. If anywhere east of the Blue Ridge sees an inch, consider that a blessing from the snow gods.
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