Thursday, December 5, 2013

The devil is in the details.

No real changes-- AGAIN. Don't mean to bore you.

Let me "retract" my comments that sleet/snow chance have dropped. Model data has cooled and I think we can see a coating to 3 inches depending on location.

Southside- Danville, Martinsville could start as a quick burst of sleet and snow.

460 Blacksburg to Roanoke to Lynchburg= Coating to an inch or two of sleet and snow

North and west, more sleet snow and ice- Lexington, Fincastle, Staunton areas.


Key issue= from 460 south, including Roanoke and Lynchburg the once the sleet and snow flip to freezing rain some of the model data really slows down the precipitation. So, while it will be below freezing, we won't get a ton of ice in these areas. Southside is in the same boat, just less sleet and snow on the front side.

Second wave? So-- we flip to freezing rain and then it slows down. Some data suggest we will have a second wave of heavier stuff late evening as temps creep towards freezing.

Somewhere between late Sunday evening and Monday AM we should break freezing.

Lynchburg Christmas parade is in jeopardy .

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