First Trackable event...

In my winter outlook-- I targeted December as the coldest month and the most likely to be colder than normal AND have some type of snow and cold.

Attached are the 9 and 10 day maps from the ECMWF--the most reliable longer range model.

This is a classic look for a good snowstorm here. If THIS were to play out as shown, it would bust my 5-10 inch winter total forecast.


Of course--this is 9-10 days out. In a La Nina winter, its harder to hold the block in place--if you note there is a storm in place to the NE of Maine. That feature most hold to suppress this storm and hold the cold air in place. If that feature is not there--this event will be MUCH different.

** In a La Nina pattern, the pacific jet is stronger (faster) making blocking harder to hold**