Decent shot at some accumulating snow Wednesday AM.
Cold air swoops in just as our storm arrives hence most places will start as rain and change to snow. Higher Elevations along and west of Blue Ridge may see 2 to 5 inches, The Roanoke Valley into Lynchburg coating to maybe 2 inches. South and East of there will end as snow..little to no accumulations.
Timing- Higher elevations/ I 81 area change to snow between 3am and 5 am. Roanoke should be in this time frame but there should be a big difference between snow totals along Orange Avenue, downtown areas vs Cave Springs, High Elevations in Town.
Areas east of there should change between 5 and 7 am-- including Lychburg. Moderate to heavy snow may fall for a couple hours but temps hover just above freezing. Coating to two inches. Places like Forest, Goode, Elon and Amherst may do a little better than downtown Lynchburg.
South of this area, most place end as snow with a coating at best.
We are about 60 hours away from this event, so expect some changes, but the data has been positive for us snow fans. The rest of you, HUSH.. It's Christmas.
I've attached a rough copy of my first thoughts. Will update as needed.