It really seems like a mix of snow and sleet develops and begins a drift towards freezing rain, starting in areas to the SW and spreading north and northeast.
Drier air is a concern and where exactly the best lift sets up is a concern as well, because some areas that are expecting a decent snow and ice event COULD end up rather dry, with just freezing drizzle the bulk of the day. Anywhere from 460 south needs to be aware of this concern.
This will likely be a "winter storm warning" but will lack the total moisture to be a "big ticket event". The colder temps will make it a travel concern but major power outages, ect are not likely, especially from 460 south. North of there, snow and sleet should minimize ice build up.
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Yellow: Initial burst of sleet, maybe a little snow switching to Freezing Rain. up to a coating of sleet and snow, up to .15 ice build up.
Green: Sleet and snow mix to start, Coating to 2 inches. Ice build up from .1 to .25 in hardest hit areas.
Pink; Coating to 3 inches of snow/sleet. .15 to .40 ice build up.
Yellow area includes: Martinsville, Danville and South Boston.
Green area includes: Blacksburg, Lyncburg and Roanoke
Pink area includes: Northern Amherst, Northern Botetourt, Lexington, Staunton, Waynesboro.
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