Saturday, December 7, 2013

Late evening Update-- Potential to get much more serious.

We had 2 options to prevent a big ice event. (Colder air was a lock)

1. Colder profile-- more sleet and snow.
2. Less stuff falling.

1. Profile has done a typical CAD where under 5k up has cooled a little and lasted longer while above will warm fast. At some point, the surface will be 29 or so and 5000k will be 50. WOW...

2. Models have trended wetter-- mostly. Minimum is .50 falling, max is up over an inch.


Most ominous is the RGEM-- Note this is in MM, and puts the 460 corridor in  25 mm, which is about an inch, give or take. Orange is right on top of 460.



Will update on FB on twitter from here. PM w any specific questions. 



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