Brief update on pending ice event.

Model data has trended as expected. For those of Facebook a lot, some "model" snow based maps were flying that showed 6-10 inches in our region. They were total bunk, not even correct because there was a warm layer above not shown. (AKA-- sleet more than snow)

So, don't expect a big snow-- at all. 

Will have a better update by tomorrow AM. 

Should get a nice bout of rain Friday and Saturday should be dry and cooler setting the stage. Temps COULD be at or slightly above freezing when it starts and quickly drop to the mid to upper 20's for a while Sunday. 

SOME data suggest a decent period of sleet mixing, while others are more beating the freezing rain drum. 

I still like my idea of coating to 3 inches of sleet and snow (especially north and west of Lynchburg)-- think more coating in LYNCHBURG, more as you hit Lexington and Staunton area.. then a decent ice event. If the model data comes in as I think it will, it should be our largest ice event in years. 

Many factors still up in the air, including:

Temps-- ice at 26 vs ice at 31-32 is a world of difference

Sleet/snow-- that tends to coat the group and make ice build up easier on roads, etc. 

Second wave MAYBE Tuesday? (after a warm up)

More late.