Saturday, January 9, 2016

Powerball number ideas for snowlovers!

If you'd love to win the powerball and you like snow-- here are some numbers to play.




We have three threats to watch: Jan 15, 18 and 21.

Add in 58 and 66 for the blocky stronger el Nino years that were snowy here in Lynchburg, Roanoke, Danville and Blacksburg. (15,18, 21, 58, 66)

3 for your money ball for 3 threats.

We could have 3 events, (Unlikely) We could have NO events, (Unlikely)  For our specific region, a good guess at this point is that we get one decent event out of the 3 and one that flirts with us. Decent doesn't JUST mean snow. Could be snow, ice ..etc.


What could go wrong? 

We have many moving pieces between the northern jet and the subtropical jet. The models have not resolved any of these pieces and much can go wrong still. The Euro model last night has us on the fringe of 2 events, the 15th and the 18th.. and with that being 7 and 10 days away I'd take those solutions at run with it because stronger events just about always trend north. As of now, the Crush NC and parts of eastern VA. However, with fast moving pieces, the energy CAN get shredded and the northern branch COULD crush the southern branch.

As the model run ends day 10, the 18th storm is east of Hatteras and one more threat can be seen emerging from the 4 corner regions.

My 1966 analog has been front and center on the Super Ensemble page and some of the less snowy 1998 analogs are showing up still, but have dropped on the rankings.

We could also see some light snow and flurries for a period Tuesday. Not a big event, but perhaps a warning shot much like we had on Valentines day last year.


*** Read this closely: I'm not forecasting 3 storms. I am creating awareness of 3 possible events. That means we could get 1, 2, 3 or NONE of these events ***

I'll start to FB and Tweet out more specific information about model runs over the next few days. You can follow me personally, my Lynchburg Weather Page or LynchburgWx twitter handle.

** read this carefully** Don't fall for the schmucks putting computer generated snow maps 5 to 10 days out on facebook. It's such a bad practice. Feel free to ask me, and they can be very fun to look at BUT they create bad expectations and are hard to work around because of the expectations people feel from them.

Please continue to share me on FB and twitter. I'm not "buying" false likes, I'm earning them.

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