Legit threat Unfolding for Tuesday of next week...followed by bitter cold
The big picture of the pattern still isn't GREAT, but like most winters if you get enough storms rolling by ONE has enough cold air to work with for at least a spell.
A storm passes to our north Saturday-Sunday with some very COLD air in place Sunday-Monday. This cold air will set the stage for what could/should be a legit winter storm for our region.
1. This won't be an all snow event.
With a departing high pressure off the east coast, at some point we mix and change to sleet, freezing rain and even rain for a while. Literally as the storm ends and more ridiculous cold air zooms in right on the tail.
2. School/work is at risk Tuesday if not longer.
Looks like the event should start between Midnight Monday night and Lunch time Tuesday, and should start as snow. The slow change to ice then rain will happen and may even end as snow (also could remain ice some regions the entire event)
Temperatures/rain won't warm up enough to melt whatever falls and then temps by Wednesday AM are below freezing and stay there for days. Taken literal, at best we are above freezing 12 hours late Afternoon Tuesday till early Wednesday and then temps plummet during the day Wednesday. Temps fall back below freezing between Midnight and 5 AM and tumble all day long. By 5 PM we are down in Teens. Thursday AM lows are 0-10 above.
If you get 4 inches of snow at your house, by the time the ice/rain ends-- it may be 1.5 inches of slush and then it's going to freeze ROCK hard.
3. Initial Guess??
I don't mind throwing out thought as long as you as the reader accept this is fluid and subject to quite a bit of revision.
Broad brush now-- Western regions 4-8, with a good bit of sleet and freezing rain on top.
Eastern Regions 2-4 with a good bit of sleet and freezing rain. Ice may be the big idea for a while, ending as rain.
The world will look like a glacier for a few days after with lows in the single digits after the storm.
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