Let's get ready to RUMBLE!!!

We are all systems go for what will end up being a significant storm across all of our region. Note on this quick radar shot that we already have snow falling ALOFT, but it's drying as it falls. (Called VIRGA)

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Snow should overspread most of the area by noon. The heavier stuff should hold off till late 

afternoon.  The worst of the storm will be between 5 pm and Midnight and things will taper down quickly after that, flurries wrapped up well before sunrise. 

Updated Map

Easy to understand. The dotted black line is as far north as the sleet COULD make it, In
the places north of the 3-6 zone, don't expect sleet to be a big issue, some cold fall LATE in the event.

Do you promise it's going to snow? 

YES!

Can anything go wrong and we don't get as much?

The atmosphere is fluid so once you get data it's already changed. Unless your in the 3-6 zone, the floor for any one location is 4 inches if EVERYTHING went wrong. Conversely, I can see that 8-14 zone pushing a tad east is everything goes well. 

What about school days?

Most area schools closed today- good call in that these east west moving storms tend to start faster. With anything over 4 inches, we usually get back to back snow days, so I imagine most people are out Wednesday.

Where this gets bad is- Another SEVERE arctic oubreak passes our area Wednesday. AM temps could go below zero. I've never noted a model runs where MULTIPLE runs have MOST of VA below 0. Thursday and Friday will be a delay, if not closed as well and another system starts to bear down on our region Saturday. 

With the holiday week,  we could hit the grand slam of snow days-- the Entire week off. It's like a rain shortened no hitter for any school that was already closed today, but still rather impressive. 

This should the last blog on this event. Will be doing live tweets and FB updates as the storm starts and continues.