Late blogging, simply put-- I was a doubter of this storm. In my interchat and responses, a later storm was better. First, night time was better for snow and more importantly We'd get a stronger coastal low. Well, we have a storm that is 12 hours later than thought and a decently strong coastal low.
Currently:
Winter Storm Waches Roanoke Valley south down 81.
Expect: Watches and Warnings All of 81 and likely 460 to Appomattox.
Expect: Advisories, maybe watches and warnings along southside from Martinsville to South Boston.
Amounts :
Everyone along 81, except the actual Roanoke Valley (Orange Ave, Peters Creek, ect) 4 to 8, with some 10-12 inch totals possible in Floyd, Bent Mountain, ect.
Roanoke City, valley level only east on 460 to Bedford, Forest, Lynchburg to Appomattox 3-6, possible 8 spots here and there.
Southside: 2-4, possible 6.
Small issues:
1. May start as a mix or rain, but will change to snow.
2. Start time: 10pm Sunday far west, 2 am far east.
3. End time noon Far west Monday, 3pm far east.
4. More accumulations on colder surfaces and grass.
5. Low ratio snow- normal is 11-1 or so, this will be as low as 6-1 to maybe 9-1 in mountain west.
Bust issues:
We go under totals if:
Low is weaker, further away.
Quicker mositure jump to coastal could rob central areas like Lynchburg.
We go over if:
A bit colder, a bit faster a bit stronger.
Will post map outside of this post for easy sharing :)
I love it when my readers share pics, amounts and start/stop times.
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